What is Kelly Criterion?
Kelly Criterion is a bet sizing formula that uses edge and odds to estimate how much of a bankroll to risk.
CageVault UFC Research
UFC Kelly Criterion Calculator
Calculate UFC bet size from bankroll, American odds, estimated win probability, and fractional Kelly settings.
What you can do here
- Enter bankroll, American odds, and your estimated win probability.
- Compare full, half, and quarter Kelly stake sizes.
- See break-even probability and expected edge before risking bankroll.
Common questions
Should I use full Kelly for UFC?
Full Kelly can be aggressive, especially in volatile sports. Many bettors use half or quarter Kelly for smaller swings.
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